Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Washington Wizards vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-152/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 4.6 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 87th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Spurs have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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