Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.5 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson places in the 84th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.
Keldon Johnson should see an increase in production across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has grabbed 12.2 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).

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