Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 5.0 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest in this category in recent days: 89th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson places in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.2 minutes per game this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

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