Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 2.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's totaled overall this season.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 31.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (reducing possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Spurs check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces player production for all stats.

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