Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put up in all games this year.
Keldon Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Keldon Johnson will likely get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Jazz have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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