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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has averaged 6.8 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
  • Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson measures in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 9 games in their home stadium, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
  • The Spurs have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Keldon Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance across the board.

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