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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has tallied 2.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson lands in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

The Spurs have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on their home court, the Chicago Bulls have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 14 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production across the board.

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