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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has tallied 1.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
  • Keldon Johnson has tallied 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year.
  • The Spurs are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from competing against the 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (reducing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keldon Johnson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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