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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keldon Johnson has posted a terrific 5.3 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.2 defensive rebounds per game last season.
  • Keldon Johnson has played 32.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
  • The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
  • The Spurs are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).
  • Keldon Johnson ought to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the league when playing at home with just 9.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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