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Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keldon Johnson has tallied an impressive 5.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.

Among all players in the league, Keldon Johnson slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 30.6 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keldon Johnson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (81st percentile).

The San Antonio Spurs will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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