Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up an impressive 5.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 4.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Keldon Johnson stands to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Spurs are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year (the Clippers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The LA Clippers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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