Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled an impressive 5.6 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.2 defensive rebounds per game last year.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league while on the road this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Grizzlies).
This year, the other team has grabbed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.0 fouls per game last year.
The Spurs have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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