Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 4.2 defensive boards per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 31.3 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league this year, which should increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have secured 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).
Keldon Johnson should experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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