Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 4.2 defensive boards per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 33.0 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Spurs rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Raptors (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.

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