Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 6.4 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The speediest pace team in the league this year has been the Spurs.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to increased plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

On their home court, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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