Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 9:01 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has compiled 6.1 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Hawks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.

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