Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 4:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 6.1 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 89th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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