Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 6.1 rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 89th percentile.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 30.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.

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