Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 24, 2023 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 81st percentile.
Keldon Johnson has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's committed in all games this season.
The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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