Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has posted a lowly 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit less than his 5.0 defensive rebounds per game last year.
The Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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