Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Keldon Johnson has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Spurs.

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