Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has totaled 5.2 rebounds per game at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which also produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Keldon Johnson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Wizards have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games on the road (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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