Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 26, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has put up 5.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Clippers have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Clippers.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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