Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 4.1 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric in recent days.
Keldon Johnson has averaged 30.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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