Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-148/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has averaged 4.1 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch.
Keldon Johnson has played 30.9 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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