Keldon Johnson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has tallied 4.0 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's leaders in this category in recent days.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season on their home court (which can also produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production across the board.

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