Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 20, 2025

Updated Nov 21, 2025 3:23 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 8 games as the home team.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-speediest pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one; when the Hawks are the visiting team, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 9 games (113.1).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 13 games.
The Spurs have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 9 games when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 24.3 free throws per game (28th-highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

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