Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 8, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of three-pointers, the Spurs's terrific 41.7% rate of converted threes at home comes in as the 6th-highest in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Spurs have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league at home this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted 24.8 foul shots per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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