Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 7th-best in in the league away from home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Keldon Johnson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has made a lowly 1.1 three-point shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.8 rate last season.
The Spurs rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
Keldon Johnson is expected to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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