Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 6, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 7:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
The Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Spurs will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has failed to convert 3.2 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's missed from downtown overall this season while on the road.
As a team, the Spurs have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while on the road: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a measly 20.2 foul shots per game.
Keldon Johnson ought to see a decline in production in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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