Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has converted 58.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Keldon Johnson has sunk 53.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games at home, 15.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year while on his home court.
The Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the San Antonio Spurs.

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