Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
The Spurs have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has failed to make 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed over the course of the year while playing on the road.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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