Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 21, 2025

Updated Mar 22, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 59.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.0% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home.
Keldon Johnson has converted 50.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 14.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise plays for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 6th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

In terms of getting to the foul line, the San Antonio Spurs's subpar 20.6 foul shots per game with the home court advantage places 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games.

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