Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has converted 58.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 11.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 46.2% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
As a team, the Spurs have been poor at getting to the free-throw line when playing on the road: 4th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all stat categories.

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