Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 16, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 65.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while at home.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 51.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 16.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season on his home court.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Spurs's lackluster 17.6 foul shots per game while playing at home rates 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

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