Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has made 60.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 13.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Keldon Johnson has converted 56.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 20.4% more than he's made in all games this season on his home court.
The Spurs check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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