Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has sunk 60.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 14.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 51.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 17.0% more than he's converted overall this year while at home.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The 7th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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