Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has made 48.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 14.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
In regard to shooting, the San Antonio Spurs's exceptional 120.8 points per game comes in as the 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Spurs.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted a lowly 9.6 shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 12.5 rate last season.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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