Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 4, 2025

Updated Mar 5, 2025 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has converted 65.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 64.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 28.7% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year with the home court advantage.
With respect to offense, the San Antonio Spurs's remarkable 121.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 6th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The 4th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The Nets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Spurs grade out 5thworst in in the league playing at home with just 9.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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