Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has sunk 65.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Keldon Johnson has successfully made 60.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 26.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year while on his home court.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 4.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Favors Under

The Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-most lethargic pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Spurs check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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