Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Orlando Magic vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 8, 2025

Updated Feb 9, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Keldon Johnson has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's made overall this year away from home.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 12.5 mark, Keldon Johnson's shots from the field have fallen this year to 9.7 per game.
Keldon Johnson has been on the court for a lowly 23.6 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 29.6 minutes per game last year.
As it relates to shots from downtown, the Spurs's lackluster 34.9% rate of successful threes rates 9th-worst in the league this year.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
Keldon Johnson should experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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