Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 7, 2025

Updated Feb 8, 2025 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Spurs rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 19.3% higher than he's made over the course of the year while playing on the road.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 12.5 clip, Keldon Johnson's shots have been reduced this season to 9.8 per game.
In contrast to last year's 29.6 rate, Keldon Johnson's playing time has tailed off this year to 23.8 minutes per game.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Hornets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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