Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has successfully made 43.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 13.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 10th-best in the league while on the road with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Keldon Johnson has made 96.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.6% higher than he's sunk overall this season on the road.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Spurs's subpar 109.9 points per game while playing on the road places 10th-worst in the league this year.
Keldon Johnson stands to see a decline in performance across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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