Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 15, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Spurs.
The Spurs check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson has made 88.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season playing at home.
Keldon Johnson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

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