Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Keldon Johnson has attempted 4.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 107.4 points per game while playing away from home ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.
The Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Keldon Johnson should suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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