Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 1:45 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted and missed 3.6 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's missed from 3-point range overall this season.
When it comes to offense, the San Antonio Spurs's lackluster 107.5 points per game away from home settles in as the 7th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Keldon Johnson has missed 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's missed over the course of the year.
Keldon Johnson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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