Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 6.8 mark, Keldon Johnson's unsuccessful field goals have tailed off this year to 5.6 per game.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keldon Johnson has attempted a mere 3.8 treys per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 5.3 rate last season.
Keldon Johnson has tallied just 24.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 29.6 minutes per game last season.
In regard to offense, the Spurs's unimpressive 107.3 points per game as the road team rates 7th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Keldon Johnson will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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