Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Keldon Johnson has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home.
Keldon Johnson should see a spike in efficiency across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Spurs rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

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