Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 23, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keldon Johnson has failed to convert 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.5 mark last year.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Keldon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 29.6 rate, Keldon Johnson's playing time has diminished this year to 25.3 minutes per game.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Keldon Johnson should see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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