Keldon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Keldon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keldon Johnson

F-G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Keldon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Spurs rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Spurs.
Keldon Johnson will likely see an increase in productivity in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 5th-least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson ranks in the 75th percentile for missed foul shot attempts, posting a whopping 0.7 per game this year.

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